After five rounds the situation in the qualifying Group F is pretty much in accordance with expectations. The Spaniards are untouchable and they won all matches played so far, while these two Scandinavian teams occupy the 2nd and 3rd place. Romania is still in the race but the Swedes have a firm grip over the second place having two points more than the 3rd-placed Norwegians. Both teams had easy opponents on last Thursday and both won. The first match between the two teams was excellent and the result read at the end 3-3.
The Swedes can be satisfied with how the qualifications so far, as well as with their position since right in the middle of the cycle they occupy the wanted second place. They lost once, to Spain away and that was expected although they perhaps could have avoided losing by sound 3-0. They drew with Norway 3-3 away, in an strange match with a lot of turnovers in which they were trailing behind 2-0 after which they scored three goals in a row and then received the third one in the injury time.
Out of other matches they won the first match with Romania at home, which brought three very valuable points. They expectedly easily defeated Malta, and a few days ago the Faroe Islands which was their highest victory so far 0-4. The Swedes are now even stronger than against Spain as Granqvist and Lindelof returned at stopper positions, just as Larsson in the midifeld, while young Isaac used the opportunity and will play in the top of attack. Forsberg dropped out from the team and it is questionable will he will get a new chance. Krafth could play at the right flank now instead of Lustig.
The Norwegians also lost only one match so far, also to Spain away, but that happened in the first round. After that they played against two other biggest rivals in the group and they drew both times. Both times they played at home and match with Sweden ended as 3-3 draw despite having a lead of 2-0, while the one with Romania as 2-2 draw when they again dropped advantage of two goals. It is clear that they have reason to be sorry, especially because they put up a very good resistance to the Spaniards and were defeated by minimal 2-1.
They broke resistance of the Faroe Islands in the second half, while against Malta they scored both goals were in the first half. There are no major changes in the Norwegian team and it is pretty much known in advance who will be in the starting line-up. The team’s first goalkeeper Jarstein is back and with him they are certainly stronger. Stopper Ajer will not join the team this team and Hovland will play instead. The dilemma is perhaps who will play alongside King it the top of the attack. Haland did against Malta but Johnsen could get an advantage now.
The Norwegians didn’t underperform in any match played so far but they didn’t endure pressure in matches with stronger opponents and didn’t win. Sweden is individually stronger and we believe that could dominate at home and solidify their hold over the second place with a new victory.
Bet Type: Total Goals
Selection: Under 2.5
Best Odds: 1.75 at
Stake: 2% bankroll (40 Units)
Date/Time: 08-Sep-2019 20:45 CET
Event Result: 1:1(0:1)
Profit: +30.00 Units